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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃

@mzloteanu@mastodon.social
mastodon 4.8.0-nightly.2026-10-06
  • Open on mastodon.social

Lecturer Psych&Crim @KingsCollegeLon | Deception Detection; Emotions; JDM | Open Science; R; Bayes | @ukrepro ReproTea & StatsTea | #statstab | 🇷🇴 🇬🇧🌍

461 Followers
153 Following
22 Posts
Joined October 28, 2022
PUBS:
https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=kkEJtq0AAAAJ
Interests:
#rstats #bayesian #dataviz #psychology #metapsych #openresearch #openscience
ORCID:
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2753-637X
Figuring Stuff Out (stats blog):
https://mzloteanu.substack.com/
Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 2mo ago
📢 Excited about our (Louisa Kulke & Fatima Felisberti) new paper in Motivation & Emotion! It echoes a theme from my recent ISRE talk: rigorous methods, precise estimates, and theory-driven predictions are essential if we want cumulative emotion science. #emotion #bayesian #empathy #jasp #OpenScience #Preregistration #opendata #opencode https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11031-026-10266-x
Judging emotional authenticity from dynamic facial expressions: a preregistered Bayesian analysis of individual differences - Motivation and Emotion
SpringerLink

Judging emotional authenticity from dynamic facial expressions: a preregistered Bayesian analysis of individual differences - Motivation and Emotion

Accurately judging whether another person’s emotional display is genuine or deliberate is a core component of social interaction, yet prior research linking this ability to socio-cognitive traits has produced mixed and imprecise findings. Much of this inconsistency stems from small samples, static stimuli, and analytic approaches that overstate weak effects. In a high-precision preregistered study (N = 605), we examined how Theory of Mind, empathy, and alexithymia relate to emotional authenticit

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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #523 Pre/Post design: the fallacy of comparing difference scores

Thoughts: Another easy read on pre-post design and some concerns about change scores.

#education #guide #prepost #ancova #change #ttest #design

https://garstats.wordpress.com/2026/02/20/prepost/

garstats.wordpress.com
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #525 What Good Is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research

Thoughts: It's interesting to see how other fields consider the problem of knowledge generation

#polisci #epistemology #inference

https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.1086/734280

journals.uchicago.edu
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#524 Interactions in Logit Regressions: Why Positive May Mean Negative

Thoughts: Nonlinear models require a bit more caution for new researchers when making inferences.

#logit #inference #causalinference #interaction
#datacolada

https://datacolada.org/57

datacolada.org
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #522 Bayes Rules! Different priors, different posteriors

Thoughts: Nice illustration of how uninformative and informative priors change your posterior.

#bayesian #dataviz #bayes #inference #sensitivity #priors

https://www.bayesrulesbook.com/chapter-4#ch4-priors

bayesrulesbook.com
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #520 Reverse‐Bayes methods for evidence assessment and research synthesis

Thoughts: I was reminded of this paper on assessing the evidentiary value of a finding. What do ppl think?

#bayes #inference #evidence #probability #priors #sensitivity

https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1538

doi.org
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #519 Sensitivity Analysis and Robustness Checks

Thoughts: Multiverse analysis allows you to capture decision uncertainty.

#multiverse #jackknife #bias #robustness #sensitivity #r #outliers

https://mike-data-analysis.share.connect.posit.cloud/sensitivity-analysis-and-robustness-checks.html

mike-data-analysis.share.connect.posit.cloud
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 8mo ago
Replying to
@brembs@mastodon.social note to self: buy lottery tickets to fund my research :)
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 47mo ago
Replying to
@tomstafford one of the first thing every student/researcher is taught is the importance of random sampling and randomization... and then they go ignore all that and just pretend it's all good (for instance, you can't directly compute p-values in observational studies as the null distribution is not known)
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 47mo ago
Replying to
@tomstafford maybe they can start with some nice DAGs and bayesian estimation 😀
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #524 {simglm}: Tidy simulation and power analyses

Thoughts: As your design becomes more complex, simulation is the only way to go.

#simulation #r #rstats #tidy #tidyverse #poweranalysis #design #tutorial

https://simglm.brandonlebeau.org/

simglm.brandonlebeau.org
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #531 Using Extant Data to Improve Estimation of the Standardized Mean Difference

Thoughts: I wonder if it's a good idea. Any edu/clinical people to chime in? Seems like using historic data.

#smd #estimation #effectsize #variance #extantdata

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3102/10769986241238478

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Sage Journals

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #530 Fisher vs Stouffer

Thoughts: Combining p-values (say in a meta-analysis) is not a straightforward thing. Here are two methods.

#fisher #stouffer #pvalues #metaanalysis #zscores #evidence #falsepositive
#r #simulation

https://timydaley.github.io/FisherVsStouffer.html

timydaley.github.io
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #529 Understanding and misunderstanding randomized controlled trials

Thoughts: Randomization is close to magic, but we still must be critical of our methods.

#randomization #rct #design #critique #covariates #causalinference #ATE #confounder #bias

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2017.12.005

doi.org
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #528 Survey Bot Detection Workshop

Thoughts: "Pick a cutoff value for detecting random responders" can you spot the bots?

#OpenScience #bots #detection #sample #human #participants #deception #shinyapp #education #tutorial

https://falkcarl.shinyapps.io/BotApp1/

falkcarl.shinyapps.io
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #527 t is for Trouble (and Textbooks): A Critique of Some Examples of the Paired-Samples t-test

Thoughts: Some issues seem to reappear in the field. We need better training.

#ttest #design #methods #error #analysis #repeatedmeasures
#outliers

https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2987888.pdf?casa_token=cJM8NiLV_ygAAAAA:yWSbczJx4y1-PwhXptS3vh7mwzPzJ_VnUoF7w_v8yvKcY6kJku29daCauTL6V6tywgHdAPI8rAZqCLXgBsh873fRUXM8jjpbjRqN0AX-t8I3e-rXMQ

jstor.org
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Open post
Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 5mo ago

#statstab #526 A Meta-Analysis of the Impact and Heterogeneity of Explicit Demand Characteristics

Thoughts: The impact of the design on conclusions is under-appreciated

#demandcharacteristics #design #methodology #error #bias
#metascience #metaanalysis

https://online.ucpress.edu/collabra/article/11/1/143005/212614/A-Meta-Analysis-of-the-Impact-and-Heterogeneity-of

online.ucpress.edu
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #523 Equal vs. Proportional Weighting in Least-Squares Means

Thoughts: Interesting comparisons of bias for the two methods. Complex stuff.

I wonder what people make of this.

#weighting #error #bias #LSM #emmeans #covariates

https://imazubi.github.io/stats/stats_equal_vs_proportional_lsm/index_equal_vs_proportional_lsm.html

imazubi.github.io
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

🚨 Come to iIIRG 2026 to hear our talk about better methods to analysing interview data! W/ Dr Cody Porter and @mattansb@scicomm.xyz

#belgium #conference #methods #investigativeinterview

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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #521 Non-adjustment for multiple testing in multi-arm trials of distinct treatments: Rationale and justification

Thoughts: Most researchers struggle with multiplicity corrections.

#error #bonferroni #FWER #FDR #falsepositive #nhst #alpha

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7534018/

pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 6mo ago

#statstab #518 Before p < 0.05 to Beyond p < 0.05: Using History to
Contextualize p-Values and Significance Testing

Thoughts: An appropriate paper for today.

#pvalues #teaching #history #pedagogy #nhst #fisher

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00031305.2018.1537891

tandfonline.com
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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌺🌞🍃 @mzloteanu@mastodon.social
· 45mo ago
Replying to
@uebernerd@nerdculture.de A combination of methodological ignorance and QRPs.
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