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Dan Goldstein

@dggoldst@hci.social
mastodon 4.7.3
  • Open on hci.social

Economics and Computational Social Science at Microsoft Research NYC.

0 Followers
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17 Posts
Joined October 28, 2022
Website:
http://dangoldstein.com
Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 43mo ago

Funny how the magnifying glass means "search for text" and the text means "change the magnification"

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 42mo ago

Some kind "best paper I've seen this year" words from @ct_bergstrom@fediscience.org
on our paper about the confusion between inferential uncertainty and outcome variability.

Working link to paper here: http://jakehofman.com/publication/illusion-of-predictability/

https://fediscience.org/@ct_bergstrom/110267907188002904

An illusion of predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse inferential uncertainty and outcome variability | jakehofman.com
jakehofman.com

An illusion of predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse inferential uncertainty and outcome variability | jakehofman.com

Traditionally, scientists have placed more emphasis on communicating inferential uncertainty (i.e., the precision of statistical estimates) compared to outcome variability (i.e., the predictability of individual outcomes). Here we show that this can lead to sizable misperceptions about the implications of scientific results. Specifically, we present three pre-registered, randomized experiments where participants saw the same scientific findings visualized as showing only inferential uncertainty,

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

"I find that a duck's opinion of me is influenced by whether or not I have bread."

- Mitch Hedberg

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

everyone thinks they want to be part of a community in which people discuss great books until it happens

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Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

What Judgment and Decision Making (JDM) is and what it isn’t

http://www.decisionsciencenews.com/?p=7177

decisionsciencenews.com
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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

Is it a causal effect?

Yes ->
Call it causal in the paper

No ->
Call it causal in the press release

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

I've noticed when people have last names that are common first names (or vice versa), other people often get it backwards.

I imagine this must cause administrative headaches and wonder what tactics people have come up with to prevent others from screwing up.

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

What's your favorite text editor among these four?

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

@mullaney@mastodon.social It was about whether one misses improvising

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 47mo ago
Replying to
Thanks to everyone who boosted this. Mastodon spirit!
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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 44mo ago

@nancybaym@mastodon.social love it

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

@ampanmdagaba@sigmoid.social Do you mean it had you seeing apparent motion?

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

CHI should go back to a single round of reviews (i. e., the pre 2022 system)

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

@mullaney@mastodon.social funny I engaged on one if your posts here and it's like it went into the void. I don't even think you saw it.

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 45mo ago

Just poured a bowl of raisin bran and saw a package of raisins on the counter and said what the hell and threw in a handful. That is the kind of Saturday night I am having.

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Open post
Dan Goldstein @dggoldst@hci.social
· 47mo ago
Replying to
@ZevEisenberg@mastodon.social Nice one!
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