Polling Canada ​

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: 🔴 Carney: 59% (+3) 🔵 Poilievre: 21% (-) 🟠 Lewis: 4% (-1) 🟢 May: 2% (-) ⚜️ Blanchet: 2% (-) 🟣 Bernier: 1% (-1) ⚪️ Unsure: 11% Nanos / Sept 18, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change With Sept 11, 2026)

Most Compelling Arguments AGAINST building the AB-BC Pipeline: Canada should be investing in renewable energy: 41% Canadians may not see enough economic benefit: 34% Too much risk of oil spill/environmental damage: 30% Would increase greenhouse gas emissions: 24% May not include enough consultation with indigenous: 23% Canada should not be building more oil pipelines: 9% Angus Reid / July 14, 2026

Leader Net-Approvals: Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 58% ⚫️ Disapprove: 35% ⚪️ Net: +23% Pierre Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 50% 🟢 Favourable: 37% ⚪️ Net: -13% Avi Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 28% 🔴 Unfavourable: 27% ⚪️ Net: +1% Liaison / July 3, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: CAQ: 28% (-13) PQ: 24% (+9) PLQ: 22% (+8) PCQ: 17% (+4) QS: 8% (-7) Others: 2% Mainstreet / September 13, 2026 / n=2034 / MOE 2.1% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338Canada here: https://338canada.com/quebec

"I would vote in favour of Canada becoming an American state" All: Disagree: 72% Agree: 20% Agree Among: Central Prairies: 27% Alberta: 24% BC: 20% Ontario: 20% Quebec: 18% Atlantic Canada: 14% NDP Voters: 32% CPC Voters: 31% LPC Voters: 14% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

Leader Net-Approvals: Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 58% ⚫️ Disapprove: 36% ⚪️ Net: +22% Pierre Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 50% 🟢 Favourable: 37% ⚪️ Net: -13% Avi Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 28% 🔴 Unfavourable: 26% ⚪️ Net: +2% Liaison / June 27, 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - The United States takes steps to annex Alberta as an American State" All: Unlikely: 52% Likely: 30% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 54% Likely: 24% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

Alberta - Preferred Premier Polling: Smith: 37% Nenshi: 33% Guthrie: 4% Hinman: 2% Davies: 1% Unsure: 23% Research Co. / Aug 26, 2026

Most Compelling Arguments FOR Building Alberta-BC Pipeline: Helps Sell Oil Outside US: 55% Oil Is Important Source Of Income: 51% Would Create Jobs/Growth: 45% Route Largely Follows Existing Pipeline: 35% Would Improve National Unity: 13% Economic Opportunities For Indigenous Communities: 12% Ottawa Will Invest In Ports/Electricity/LNG In BC: 10% Angus Reid / July 14, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 35% (-6) NDP: 12% (+6) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 2% (+1) Liaison / July 18, 2026 / n=1439 / MOE 2.5% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Toronto - Chow Approval Polling: Approve: 51% Disapprove: 43% Liaison / June 30, 2026

"I trust the Prime Minister of Canada to make the best decisions on issues of national unity" All: Agree: 61% Disagree: 27% Agree Among: Quebec: 66% Alberta: 48% LPC Voters: 85% NDP Voters: 63% CPC Voters: 41% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 41% (-3) CPC: 32% (-9) NDP: 15% (+9) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / July 3, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 32% (-11) ONDP: 28% (+8) OLP: 28% (-2) NBP: 6% (+4) GPO: 5% (-) Others: 3% EKOS / June 16, 2026 / n=1248 / MOE 2.8% / Telephone (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: http://338canada.com/ontario/

Polling Canada British Columbia Model:

🟠 NDP: 48 (+1) 🔵 CON: 43 (-1) 🟢 GRN: 2 (-)

• September 16, 2026 -

Full model here: https://www.canadianpolling.com/p/bc-conservatives-are-crumbling-as

"People should be able to take refuge in other countries, including my own, to escape from war or persecution" Agree: 71% Disagree: 19% Ipsos / May 2026

"My Province would be better off as an American State" All: Disagree: 71% Agree: 21% Agree Among: Alberta: 25% BC: 24% Central Prairies: 23% Quebec: 22% Ontario: 21% Atlantic Canada: 14% CPC Voters: 33% NDP Voters: 24% LPC Voters: 17% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - The US recongizes Alberta's sovereignty even if a majority of voters reject holding a referendum on whether Canada should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 46% Likely: 28% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 52% Likely: 26% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

Support For Each Pipeline: Alberta-BC Pipeline: 🟢 Support: 63% 🔴 Oppose: 23% Alberta-Ontario Pipeline: 🟢 Support: 55% 🔴 Oppose: 28% Angus Reid / July 14, 2026

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: 🔴 Carney: 56% (+2) 🔵 Poilievre: 18% (-) 🟠 Lewis: 4% (-) ⚜️ Blanchet: 2% (-1) 🟢 May: 2% (-) 🟣 Bernier: 2% (+1) ⚪️ Unsure: 15% Nanos / July 31, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change With July 24, 2026)

Toronto - Favourability Of Brad Bradford: Favourable: 29% Unfavourable: 23% Unfamiliar With: 35% Unsure: 13% Liaison / June 30, 2026

"How much do you admire the United States as a country?" Not At All: 34% Somewhat: 29% A Little: 26% Great Deal: 11% Leger / June 21, 2026

Leader Net-Approvals: Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 56% ⚫️ Disapprove: 35% ⚪️ Net: +21% Pierre Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 51% 🟢 Favourable: 36% ⚪️ Net: -15% Avi Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 29% 🔴 Unfavourable: 27% ⚪️ Net: +2% Liaison / July 25, 2026

(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 32% (-11) ONDP: 28% (+9) OLP: 26% (-4) NBP: 6% (+4) GPO: 5% (-) Others: 3% EKOS / June 16, 2026 / n=1248 / MOE 2.8% / Telephone (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: http://338canada.com/ontario/

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 34% (-7) NDP: 12% (+6) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 2% (+1) Liaison / Aug 1, 2026 / n=1455 / MOE 2.5% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

"Which is closest to your view?" People in my country are generally more cultured: 54% There is little difference: 30% People in the US are generally more cultured: 5% Leger / June 21, 2026

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: Carney: 51% (+1) Poilievre: 24% (-) Lewis: 6% (+1) May: 3% (-) Blanchet: 3% (-) Bernier: 2% (-) Unsure: 13% Nanos / July 3, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change With June 26, 2026)

(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 37% (-6) OLP: 37% (+7) ONDP: 16% (-3) Others: 10% Spark Insights / June 1, 2026 / n=1608 / Online (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: https://338canada.com/ontario/

"How likely do you think the following takes place - Voters in Alberta voting to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 41% Likely: 40% Among Albertans: Likely: 50% Unlikely: 30% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"I would vote in favour of my province becoming it's own country" All: Disagree: 65% Agree: 24% Agree Among: Alberta: 33% Quebec: 29% Central Prairies: 28% Ontario: 24% BC: 16% Atlantic Canada: 12% CPC Voters: 35% NDP Voters: 27% LPC Voters: 17% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"Most foreigners who want to get into my country as a refugee really aren't refugees. They just want to come here for economic reasons, or to take advantage of our welfare services" Agree: 58% Disagree: 27% Ipsos / May 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - The US recognizes Alberta's sovereignty if a majority of chose to hold a binding referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 41% Likely: 33% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 44% Likely: 26% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Nova Scotia Provincial Polling: PC: 40% (-13) NDP: 33% (+11) LIB: 22% (-1) GRN: 1% (-) Others: 5% Abacus / Sept 5, 2026 / n=600 / Online (% Change with 2024 Election) Check out more NB details on @338Canada at: https://338canada.com/ns/polls.htm

"Which is closest to your view?" People in Canada are generally nicer: 64% There is little difference: 23% People in the US are generally nicer than here: 5% Leger / June 21, 2026

Most Important Issue: Jobs/Economy: 21% (-) Inflation: 10% (-2) Healthcare: 9% (+1) Trump/US Relations: 8% (-) Environment: 8% (+1) National Unity: 5% (+1) Immigration: 4% (-1) Housing: 4% (-) World Peace: 2% (-) Crime: 2% (New) Nanos / July 24, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change With July 17, 2026)

"Which county offers the better opportunity for someone willing to work hard?" Canada: 37% About the same: 32% United States: 22% Leger / June 21, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 41% (-3) CPC: 35% (-6) NDP: 14% (+8) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 1% (-) Liaison / July 11, 2026 / n=1443 / MOE 2.5% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada@mastodon.world for polling details: http://338canada.com

Carney Approval Polling: Approve: 62% (+11) Disapprove: 31% (-11) Angus Reid / Sept 4, 2026 (% Change With Aug 2026)

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 31% (-10) NDP: 14% (+8) BQ: 7% (+1) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / July 17, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 47% (+3) CPC: 28% (-13) NDP: 13% (+7) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 2% (+1) Nanos / July 31, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com

(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 40% (-3) OLP: 32% (+2) ONDP: 21% (+2) GPO: 3% (-2) Others: 4% Abacus / July 29, 2026 / n=1000 / Online (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: https://338canada.com/ontario/

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 45% (+1) CPC: 30% (-11) NDP: 13% (+7) BQ: 7% (+1) GPC: 5% (+4) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / July 24, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 31% (-10) NDP: 15% (+9) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / July 10, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Support For Increasing Fuel Taxes In September As Planned: Oppose: 63% Support: 25% Leger / July 27, 2026

Most Important Issue: Jobs/Economy: 21% (-) Inflation: 12% (-) Healthcare: 7% (-1) Trump/US Relations: 7% (-1) Immigration: 5% (-1) National Unity: 4% (-1) Environment: 4% (-) Housing: 3% (-) Change The Gov't: 2% (-1) Debt/Deficit: 2% (-1) Nanos / June 26, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change With June 19, 2026)

(Models Available For Subscribers) Prince Edward Island Provincial Polling: LIB: 37% (+20) PC: 29% (-27) GRN: 26% (+4) NDP: 8% (+3) MQO / April 23, 2026 / n=367 / Online/Telephone (% Change With 2023 Election) Check out all PEI polling here: https://canadianpolling.ca/PE-2023

Leader Net-Approvals: Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 57% ⚫️ Disapprove: 34% ⚪️ Net: +23% Pierre Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 52% 🟢 Favourable: 34% ⚪️ Net: -18% Avi Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 30% 🔴 Unfavourable: 29% ⚪️ Net: +1% Liaison / Aug 1, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 34% (-7) NDP: 14% (+8) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 1% (-) Liaison / July 4, 2026 / n=1458 / MOE 2.5% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 40% (-4) CPC: 36% (-5) NDP: 13% (+7) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 3% (+2) Others: 2% Angus Reid / July 27, 2026 / n=1571 / Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com